Briefly describe what “inputs” are used in the forecast and why they are used.

Many political scientists, statisticians, and journalists engage in the practice of forecasting or predicting elections (in particular presidential elections). For this discussion, look at the two ways of doing forecasts done by political scientists listed below. Briefly describe what “inputs” are used in the forecast and why they are used. If you were to make your own forecast of a presidential election, what additional information would you include in a forecast that you believe would make it more accurate?

Forecasts at these links:

http://primarymodel.com/

http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/time-for-change-model/